
U.S. home resale rose more than expected in May and the
stock of properties for sale was the highest in more than one and a half years
years, suggesting that housing was pulling out of a recent slump. The National
Association of Realtors said on Monday existing home sales increased 4.9% to an
annual rate of 4.89 million units. May's increase was the largest since August
2011. The forecast was that the sales will rise only 2.2% to a 4.73
million-unit pace last month. Sales, which rose in all four regions, were
driven by the single-family home segment, the largest portion of the market. They
likely reflected a pause in mortgage rates. The housing recovery stalled in the
second half of 2013 as interest rates increased and prices surged against the
backdrop of a dwindling supply of properties available for sale. Despite the
second consecutive month of gains, sales were down 5.0% compared to May last
year. They remain down 9% from a peak of 5.38 million units hit in July. Still,
the increase in sales will be welcomed by the Federal Reserve, which is closely
watching the housing market as it contemplates the future course of
monetary policy.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen has warned a prolonged slump could
undermine the economy. The relatively bullish housing report offered
further evidence that the economy has regained strength after weakening sharply
in the first quarter. Rising sales and a steady pace of groundbreaking should
help residential investment to modestly rebound in the second quarter after two
straight quarters of decline. A separate report showed manufacturing expanding
strongly in June. Financial data firm Markit said its preliminary or
"flash" U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index rose to 57.5,
the highest reading since May 2010, from 56.4 in May. A reading above 50
signals expansion in economic activity. While home sales are rising, pockets of
weakness remain. First-time buyers, a necessary ingredient for a strong housing
market, continue to hug the sidelines. Many have also been priced out by
stringent lending practices. Last month, first-time buyers accounted for only
27 percent of the transactions, hovering near their lowest level since the
Realtors group started tracking the series. A market share of 40 percent to 45
percent for first-time buyers is considered by economists and real estate
professionals as ideal. Investors, who have propped up housing are retreating
fast, accounting for only 16 percent of transactions in May. The inventory of
unsold homes on the market increased 6.0 percent from a year-ago to 2.28
million in May, the highest level since August 2012. In May, the month's supply
of existing homes increased to 5.6 months from 5.7 months in April. Six months'
supply is normally considered a healthy balance between supply and demand. Still,
the improving supply is helping to temper price increases. The median home
price increased 5.1 percent from a year ago, the smallest increase since March
2012.
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